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This Dispatch analyses four key aspects behind the rise in Islamist extremist planning targeting Germany:. This article is a partnered piece with an analysis of the online dimensions of the threat, A spectrum of threats: Islamist extremism online in Germany post-October 7. Over the past year, Germany has suffered two deadly Islamist attacks β the first targeting an anti-Islam rally in Mannheim in March in which a police officer was killed, and the second on a festival in Solingen in August which killed three people.
German authorities have also reportedly foiled a range of other Islamist extremist attacks. This trend has been galvanised by the 7 October attack by Hamas on Israel and the subsequent Israeli bombardment of Gaza that has killed over 43, people. These incidents have put Islamist extremism under renewed scrutiny. During the height of IS in the mids, Islamist extremism was widely considered the key security challenge for Germany with over 1, Salafi-jihadists from Germany joining armed groups in Syria and Iraq.
The current violent threat from Islamist extremism in Germany is driven by factors including grievances related to the Israel-Hamas conflict, the increasing prevalence of online extremist propaganda and controversies related to blasphemy.
While IS continues to play a central role, this reflects the diversity of Islamist extremist threat actors. The following sections analyse four key aspects that shape the current threat picture in Germany:. Following 7 October, Salafi-jihadist groups called for followers to commit attacks across Europe, especially in France and Germany. ISD assesses that since 7 October, there have been at least 10 attacks or plots linked to IS supporters in Germany based on an assessment of cases collated by Peter Neumann and subsequent media reporting.
ISKP has grown into a significant international security challenge, carrying out two high-profile terrorist attacks in a bombing in January in Kerman, Iran which killed 84 people attending a memorial service for Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps commander Qasem Soleimani; and the attack on Crocus City Hall in Moscow which killed people in March. Some of the attacks and plots appear to have used IS ideology merely as an inspiration without any formal connection to the group.