For complaints, use another form. Study lib. Upload document Create flashcards. Flashcards Collections. Documents Last activity. Add to Add to collection s Add to saved. Spiegelhalter is one of the most cited and influential researchers in his field, and was elected as President of the Royal Statistical Society for β To statisticians everywhere, with their endearing traits of pedantry, generosity, integrity, and desire to use data in the best way possible List of Figures 0.
I am grateful to them and so many others for encouraging me in a challenging subject. This book has been a long time in development, entirely due to my chronic procrastination. So I would primarily like to thank Laura Stickney of Penguin for not only commissioning the book, but remaining calm as the months, and years, went by, even when the book was finished and we still could not agree on a title.
And all credit to Jonathan Pegg for negotiating me a fine deal, Jane Birdsell for showing huge patience when editing, and all the production staff at Penguin for their meticulous work. I am very grateful for permission to adapt illustrations, specifically Chris Wild Figure 0.
UK public sector information is licensed under the Open Government Licence v3. I am not a good R programmer, and Matthew Pearce and Maria Skoularidou helped me enormously in doing the analyses and graphics. I also struggle with writing, and so am indebted to numerous people who read and commented on chapters, including George Farmer, Alex Freeman, Cameron Brick, Michael Posner, Sander van der Linden and Simone Warr: in particular Julian Gilbey had a fine eye for errors and ambiguity.
Above all, I must thank Kate Bull not only for her vital comments on the text, but also for supporting me through times that have been both good writing in a beach hut in Goa and not so good a wet February juggling too many commitments.
